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JNBD Futures ❨Micro Sizing❩

Futures · Started Oct 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-49.2%
Max Drawdown
94.8%
Trades
594
Win Trades
33.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
61.5%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-39.1172.965.6175.2
20269.819.523.823.37.1-17.4-0.4-63.4-77.26.3-84.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/17/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$1,000
Age12 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades594
# Profitable196
% Profitable33.0%
Avg trade duration1.5 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown94.8%
drawdown periodMay 27, 2026 - Sept 10, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)-49.2%
Avg win$273
Avg loss$127

Ratios

W:L ratio1.06
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Sortino Ratio0.86
Calmar Ratio5.40

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life14.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-64.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-49.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)303.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1707.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss64.5%
Chance of 20% account loss57.5%
Chance of 30% account loss40.0%
Chance of 40% account loss26.5%
Chance of 50% account loss15.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)7.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)4.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)882
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)663

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$127
Avg Win$273
# Winners196
Sum Trade PL (losers)$50,357
Sum Trade PL (winners)$53,411
Num Months Winners8
# Losers398
% Winners33.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table13

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)92.65
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.54
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago18

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)73.76
Daily leverage (max)463.78

Regression

Alpha0.40
Beta-0.26
Treynor Index-1.53

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.09
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.35
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.11
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.28
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.25
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.23
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.42

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean3.95
SD1.84
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.94
df8
t1.86
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.39
Sortino ratio21.77
Upside Potential Ratio23.75
Upside part of mean4.31
Downside part of mean-0.36
Upside SD2.07
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms3
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion3.95
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion1.84
Covariance0.02
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)3.73
Mean Square Error3.85
DF error7
t(b)0.27
p(b)0.40
t(a)1.54
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-12.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta15.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha9.43
Treynor index (mean / b)2.40
Jensen alpha (a)3.73
Mean2.70
SD1.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.01
df8
t1.92
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.47
Sortino ratio14.17
Upside Potential Ratio16.14
Upside part of mean3.07
Downside part of mean-0.37
Upside SD1.37
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms3
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion2.70
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion1.21
Covariance0.02
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.48
Mean Square Error1.64
DF error7
t(b)0.41
p(b)0.35
t(a)1.58
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-7.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha6.19
Treynor index (mean / b)1.62
Jensen alpha (a)2.48
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.39
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean2.96
SD1.79
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.65
df214
t1.50
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.82
Sortino ratio2.98
Upside Potential Ratio9.89
Upside part of mean9.82
Downside part of mean-6.86
Upside SD1.50
Downside SD0.99
N nonnegative terms91
N negative terms124
N of observations215
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion2.96
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion1.79
Covariance-0.01
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)3.00
Mean Square Error3.22
DF error213
t(b)-0.32
p(b)0.62
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha6.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-10.83
Jensen alpha (a)3.00
Mean1.49
SD1.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df214
t0.79
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.04
Sortino ratio1.33
Upside Potential Ratio7.98
Upside part of mean8.92
Downside part of mean-7.43
Upside SD1.27
Downside SD1.12
N nonnegative terms91
N negative terms124
N of observations215
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion1.49
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion1.69
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.50
Mean Square Error2.88
DF error213
t(b)-0.08
p(b)0.53
t(a)0.80
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.20
Treynor index (mean / b)-22.55
Jensen alpha (a)1.50
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean0.35
SD1.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.28
df130
t0.20
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.06
Sortino ratio0.40
Upside Potential Ratio7.81
Upside part of mean6.79
Downside part of mean-6.44
Upside SD0.84
Downside SD0.87
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion1.21
Covariance-0.01
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error1.47
DF error129
t(b)-0.33
p(b)0.52
t(a)0.23
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.80
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.55
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
Mean-0.40
SD1.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.32
df130
t-0.23
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.45
Sortino ratio-0.42
Upside Potential Ratio6.76
Upside part of mean6.47
Downside part of mean-6.87
Upside SD0.78
Downside SD0.96
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.40
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion1.24
Covariance-0.01
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.36
Mean Square Error1.55
DF error129
t(b)-0.33
p(b)0.52
t(a)-0.20
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.63
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.14
Treynor index (mean / b)1.72
Jensen alpha (a)-0.36
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.93
Median1.21
Quartile 31.37
Maximum2.47
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.13
Mean of quarter 31.30
Mean of quarter 42.19
Inter Quartile Range0.45
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high2.47
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations215
Minimum0.68
Quartile 10.97
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.72
Mean of quarter 10.90
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.77
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations131
Minimum0.74
Quartile 10.97
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.22
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.79
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.26
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.07
Quartile 10.08
Median0.08
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.07
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.05
Median0.13
Quartile 30.23
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30.18
Mean of quarter 40.40
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.66
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.44
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.54
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.50
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.15
Number of observations10
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.08
Median0.12
Quartile 30.19
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.10
Mean of quarter 30.14
Mean of quarter 40.37
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.66
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.41
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.57
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.84
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.83
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-410610560
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)106
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)8.96
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)14.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)131.23
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs131.23
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal36.81
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)3.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)3.55
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal18.77
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.48
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.84
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.12

Trading record

Placed 2 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MES Z6short5Sep 30, 2026Sep 30, 2026($6)
QMGC Z6short5Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($189)
QMCL X6long5Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026($208)
QMHG Z6long4Sep 29, 2026Sep 29, 2026$118
@MES Z6long5Sep 28, 2026Sep 28, 2026($19)
QMGC Z6short5Sep 28, 2026Sep 28, 2026$225
@MES Z6short5Sep 28, 2026Sep 28, 2026($150)
QMGC Z6long5Sep 27, 2026Sep 27, 2026$81
@MES Z6long5Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026$365
@MES Z6long5Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026($155)
QMGC Z6short5Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026($4)
QMGC Z6short5Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026($180)
QMGC Z6long5Sep 23, 2026Sep 23, 2026($4)
QMCL X6short5Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026($168)
QMCL X6long5Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026$375
QMGC Z6long5Sep 18, 2026Sep 18, 2026($214)
@MES Z6short5Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026($156)
QMCL V6long5Sep 17, 2026Sep 17, 2026($73)
@MES Z6short5Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026($156)
@MES Z6short5Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026($144)
@MES Z6short5Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026$179
QMGC Z6short5Sep 16, 2026Sep 16, 2026$165
QMGC Z6short5Sep 15, 2026Sep 15, 2026($246)
QMCL V6long5Sep 15, 2026Sep 15, 2026$348
QMGC Z6short5Sep 14, 2026Sep 14, 2026$464
@MES U6short5Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($152)
@MES U6short5Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026($69)
QMGC Z6short5Sep 10, 2026Sep 10, 2026($174)
QMCL V6long5Sep 10, 2026Sep 10, 2026$147
@MES U6long5Sep 10, 2026Sep 10, 2026($181)

Strategy family

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.